reuters.com
www.reuters.com

Russia has capacity for a limited attack against NATO territory at any time but a decision to act would depend on the Western allies’ posture, a top German military official warned.

“If you look at Russia’s current capabilities and combat power, Russia could kick off a small-scale attack against NATO territory as early as tomorrow,” Lieutenant General Alexander Sollfrank told Reuters in an interview.

“Small, quick, regionally limited, nothing big - Russia is too tied down in Ukraine for that.”

  • einkorn@feddit.orgEnglish
    301·
    1 month ago

    I recommend Carlo Masalas latest book “If Russia wins” if you are interested in how such a small scale invasion and it’s political fallout might look like.

    The gist is:

    • Take medium sized Baltic city, preferably with Russian minority and stop.
    • Wait for a NATO response.
    • If coalition forces arrive fall back behind border and go to damage control: “Lol just a prank, bro”!
    • If none arrive watch NATO tear itself apart because Article 5 is worthless.
    • Go wild in places like Moldova, Georgia and finally the Baltic’s proper because who is going to stop you?
    • Profit
    • lepinkainen@lemmy.worldEnglish
      2·
      1 month ago

      This is their Gerasimov Doctrine: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_generation_warfare?wprov=sfti1

      And “the west” isn’t prepared for it, they’ve used it multiple times successfully.

      The basic idea is that hybrid warfare cheaper than normal war. Russia has also made it 100% legal to use their military to “rescue” Russians from other countries. So in their eyes they’re doing the right thing.

      Tactical and Strategic Truths.