- cross-posted to:
- europe@feddit.org
- russia@sopuli.xyz
- cross-posted to:
- europe@feddit.org
- russia@sopuli.xyz
cross-posted from: https://mander.xyz/post/44744329
Here is an Invidious link for the YT video (18 min) that is embedded in the article.
As Russia enters 2026, many Russian opposition figures, especially those living in exile, have suggested that Putin is leading their country to disaster; even though, to this day, most Russians instinctively dismiss those who advance such views as renegades or even traitors. A new commentary, however, more sweeping and damning than theirs was offered last week by retired Russian Colonel General Leonid Ivashov in response to Putin’s direct line television program held on December 19.
…
Ivashov points out that while Putin was beaming to his audience and telling everyone how well the Russian economy was doing, even Moscow television showed scenes of people in Russia’s federal subjects begging for water, road repair, and money for medicines … "I watched [Putin’s] whole 4-hour show, and I didn’t see a leader, a commander, or a protector of the people. I just saw a guy living in a fairy tale while the rest of the country is struggling to survive on 16,000 rubles [$130] a month.”
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Ivashov is someone whom all Russians recall as the hero of Pristina. In 1999, General Leonid Ivashov, as a senior Russian military official, led a rapid deployment of Russian forces into Pristina ahead of NATO troops blocking their advance in an effort to assert Russian influence during the Kosovo conflict. His act heightened tensions with NATO, signaling Moscow’s willingness to challenge Western operations and complicating alliance coordination in the region.
Ivashov is now appearing once again in a different form, this time emerging once again to challenge Russian President Putin, predicting Russian defeat in its war with Ukraine. While the aging Ivashov – now 82 – has previously criticized Putin and his policies, most notably in 2022 when he denounced the war in Ukraine and even called on Putin to resign, his remarks this past week came immediately after Putin’s live call-in address.
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About Putin’s war in Ukraine that the retired general is the most critical. In a direct jab at the Russian Chief of the General Staff Valerii Gerasimov, and the way he has conducted the war, Ivashov says, the Russian High Command is not impressing anyone, and Putin remains stuck at “the tactical level,” talking about taking this or that tiny village or even a single house, noting that Ukraine, backed by NATO tech and satellite intel, is hitting Russia where it hurts (oil refineries and airfields), while Russia is just firing off its weapons at easy targets like apartment blocks and schools rather than militarily significant ones.
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During his online statement Ivashov offered a long laundry list of things that, in his opinion, were failing inside Russia:
Planes: “We can’t build our own passenger jets. We’re basically cannibalizing old Boeing’s for spare parts.”
Space: Ivashov describes how the last working manned launchpad at Baikonur was accidentally destroyed due to poor maintenance. Russia in effect can no longer deploy men into space.
Food: Ivashov warns that the food available in Russians stores is becoming extremely harmful because it is filled with palm oil because the economy is so constrained.
Corruption: He mentions that 11 trillion rubles ($1.2 trillion) were allegedly stolen by the Russian Ministry of Defense. He points out that almost every major corrupt official is a member of the ruling party.
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There is no methodology nor raw data in that post, so it’s just saying words at this point.
Those “86%” Russian numbers were always plucked out of polling manipulation, trick questions, and carefully curated focus groups, as long as Russian government existed. Nowadays, when there are wartime rules, it’s not even that complicated. “Do you aggree with the government position, or do you want to go to jail for 12 years?” is a question that will give you whatever result you wish with no polling manipulation required
This is actually not true. An overwhelming majority of russians are supportive of chauvinism and imperialism (and a strong majority are genocidal imperialists). This is a fact.
Believe it or not there are ways to evaluate preference falsification, you can read the papers (methodology, results and analysis) yourself.
Baseline research on support for the fullscale invasion:
https://www.levada.ru/en/2024/05/17/conflict-with-ukraine-assesments-for-march-2024/
Research with preference falsification adjustments with respect to support for the full scale invasion:
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/20531680221108328
Baseline support for annexation of Crimea:
https://www.levada.ru/en/2021/05/19/crimea-3/
Research with preference falsification adjustments with respect to support for annexation of Crimea:
https://www.jiia.or.jp/en/column/2022/09/russia-fy2022-01.html
A high level overview of russian support for the invasion of Ukraine (a summary, but with links to relevant research, albeit some sources will be in russian):
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/russia-tomorrow/reluctant-consensus-war-and-russias-public-opinion/
And this is just Ukraine, even the allegedly liberal russian “opposition” openly supports the occupation of Ichkeria and sees nothing wrong with mass scale killing of civilians committed by the russians in the 90s and 2000s.