• CAVOK@lemmy.worldOP
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    2 months ago

    Probably bad.

    The reason why I doubt that Ukraine would attack Moscow on Victory Day is that the risk of killing innocents would be high, which could (would) make Russians rally around the flag.

    I do like the threat though. Putin and Russia shouldn’t be confident that Ukraine won’t attack, which causes a dilemma for them.

    • testaccount372920@piefed.zip
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      2 months ago

      I agree that the threat is a smart move. Either Russia command responds, showing the population that everything is not going as well as they pretend. Or they do nothing, in which case they have deal with the backlash of ‘Oh, why did you do nothing, they told you they would do this’ if Ukraine attacks.

    • Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz
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      2 months ago

      Putin and Russia shouldn’t be confident that Ukraine won’t attack

      A parade is still a parade, an attack would likely kill civilians attending and definitely be a warcrime.

                • Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz
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                  2 months ago

                  With regular bombs targeting military factories and logistical hubs at night? No, because those are military targets and there was minimal risk to civilians. Firebombing residential areas? Absolutely.

                  The worst part is, killing shittons of civilians isn’t even useful. When Germany shifted bombing from airfields and military targets to terror-bombing london, they gave the airfields and factories breathing room to rebuild the RAF and eventually win the battle of Britain. Murdering 20% of the population of Korea north of the 38th didn’t allow the US to push up, poisoning the center of vietnam to cause a famine and sending B-52s to carpet bomb the north did nothing to break the Vietnamese resistance. Bombing hospitals and weddings in Afghanistan didn’t make the Afghan people decide to stop resisting.